ÐÀÇÄÅË I.
"ÂÅ×ÍÀß" ÍÀÖÈÎÍÀËÜÍÀß ÄÈËÅÌÌÀ: ÊÓÄÀ È ÇÀ ×ÅÌ ÈÄÒÈ? .............. 3
1.1 ×ÒÎ ÈÌÅÅÌ - ÍÅ ÕÐÀÍÈÌ, ×ÒÎ ÓÌÅÅÌ - ÍÅ ÖÅÍÈÌ ................ 7
1.2 ÒÐÅÒÈÉ ÐÈÌ È ÒÐÅÒÈÉ ÌÈÐ? .................................. 10
1.3 ÊÀÊ ÎÒÊÐÛÒÜ ÄÂÅÐÜ ÒÓÄÀ, ÃÄÅ ÍÀÑ ÆÄÓÒ? ..................... 14
1.4 ØÀÍÑ ÄËß ÐÎÑÑÈÈ, ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÈ È ÑÍÃ ........................... 18
1.5  ÒÅ ËÈ ÄÂÅÐÈ ÑÒÓ×ÈÒÑß ÑÎÄÐÓÆÅÑÒÂÎ? ....................... 21
ÐÀÇÄÅË II.
ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÜ, ÐÎÑÑÈß È ÀÔÐÈÊÀ: ÓÍÈÊÀËÜÍÀß ÃÅÎÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÀß
ÑÈÒÓÀÖÈß ....................................................... 23
2.1 ÀÔÐÈÊÀ ÍÀ ÏÅÐÅÏÓÒÜÅ ....................................... 23
2.2 ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÜ, ÐÎÑÑÈß È ÇÀÏÀÄ Â ÊÎÍÖÅÏÖÈÈ ÌÍÎÃÎÏÎËßÐÍÎÃÎ
ÌÈÐÀ ...................................................... 28
2.3 ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÎÅ "ÍÀÑËÅÄÑÒÂÎ" ÐÎÑÑÈÈ È ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÈ ................ 34
2.4 ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÎ-ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÍÀÏÐÀÂËÅÍÍÎÑÒÜ ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÎ-
ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎ-ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÕ ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌ ............................ 38
2.5 ÏÅÐÑÏÅÊÒÈÂÛ ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎ-ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÎ-ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÎÃÎ
ÑÎÒÐÓÄÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÀ ............................................ 40
2.6 ÈÍÂÅÑÒÈÖÈÎÍÍÛÅ È ÑÂßÇÀÍÍÛÅ Ñ ÍÈÌÈ ËÜÃÎÒÛ Â ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÕ
ÑÒÐÀÍÀÕ ................................................... 43
2.7 ÈÍÒÅËËÅÊÒÓÀËÜÍÛÅ (ÍÎÎÑÔÅÐÍÛÅ) ÀÑÏÅÊÒÛ ÑÎÂÐÅÌÅÍÍÎÉ
ÃÅÎÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÊÈ .............................................. 49
2.8 ÂÎÇÌÎÆÍÛÅ ÂÈÄÛ ÄÅßÒÅËÜÍÎÑÒÈ Â ÏÐÎÖÅÑÑÅ ÏÎÄÃÎÒÎÂÊÈ È
ÐÅÀËÈÇÀÖÈÈ ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌ ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎ-ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÎ-ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÎÃÎ
ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÃÎ ÑÎÒÐÓÄÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÀ ............................. 53
ÐÀÇÄÅËÈ III
ÊÀÊ ÇÀÏÀÄ "ÏÎÌÎÃÀÅÒ" ÑÒÐÀÍÀÌ ÑÍÃ ............................... 58
3.1 "ÝÍÅÐÃÎÌÀØ" - ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÀß È ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÀß ÑÒÐÀÒÅÃÈß
ÏÐÎÐÛÂÀ ................................................... 58
3.1.1 ÒÐÅÒÈÉ "ÕËÅÁ" ÐÎÑÑÈÈ È ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÈ .................... 58
3.1.2 ÝÍÅÐÃÅÒÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ ÔÓÍÄÀÌÅÍÒ ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÊÈ ................. 60
3.1.3 ÑÒÐÀÒÅÃÈß Â×ÅÐÀØÍÅÃÎ ÄÍß ÂÅÄÅÒ ...  ÏÎÇÀÂ×ÅÐÀ ..... 62
3.1.4 ÁÓÄÅÒ ËÈ Â ÑÀÍÊÒ-ÏÅÒÅÐÁÓÐÃÅ SIMENS-ØÒÐÀÑÑÅ? ........ 67
3.1.5 ËÅÍÒÀ ÌÅÁÈÓÑÀ ÐÛÍÎ×ÍÎÉ ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÊÈ ................... 69
3.1.6 ×ÅËÎÂÅ×ÅÑÊÈÉ (ÍÎÎÑÔÅÐÍÛÉ) ÔÀÊÒÎÐ ÏÐÎÁËÅÌÛ .......... 74
3.1.7 ÏÐÎÈÇÂÎÄÑÒÂÅÍÍÛÅ ÊÎÐÏÎÐÀÖÈÈ-ÀÍÊËÀÂÛ È ÏÅÐÑÏÅÊÒÈÂÛ
ÐÎÑÑÈÈ-ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÈ .................................... 77
3.2 ÊÓÄÀ "ÂÅÄÓÒ" ÓÇÁÅÊÈÑÒÀÍ ÇÀÐÓÁÅÆÍÛÅ "ÄÐÓÇÜß"? .............. 79
3.2.1 ÏÎ×ÅÌÓ ÂÇÎÐÂÀËÀÑÜ ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÀß ÒÓÐÁÈÍÀ È ÊÒÎ ÈÇÂËÅÊ
ÈÇ ÝÒÎÃÎ ÂÛÃÎÄÓ? ................................... 79
3.2.2 ÝÒÎ ÑËÀÄÊÎÅ ÑËÎÂÎ "ÈÍÂÅÑÒÎÐ" ....................... 84
3.2.3 ÂÎÑÒÎÊ-ÄÅËÎ ÒÎÍÊÎÅ ................................. 85
3.2.4 ÍÀÓÊÀ ÍÀØÀ - ÍÀÄÅÆÄÀ ÍÀØÀ .......................... 88
3.2.5 "ÏÎËÅ ×ÓÄÅÑ" ÌÈÐÎÂÎÃÎ ÊÀÏÈÒÀËÀ ..................... 91
3.2.6 ÄÂÎÉÍÎÅ ÄÍÎ ÏÎÐÒÔÅËß ÇÀÌÎÐÑÊÈÕ ÈÍÂÅÑÒÈÖÈÉ .......... 94
3.3 ÓÇÁÅÊÑÊÀß ÄÈËÅÌÌÀ: ÊÀÊ È Ñ ÊÅÌ ÈÄÒÈ Â ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÊÓ XXI
ÂÅÊÀ? ..................................................... 96
3.3.1 ÐÅÃÈÎÍÀËÜÍÀß ÈÍÒÅÃÐÀÖÈß ÏÐÎÒÈÂ ÃËÎÁÀËÜÍÎÉ
ÄÈÑÊÐÈÌÈÍÀÖÈÈ ...................................... 97
3.3.2 ÇÀ×ÅÌ ÀÐÁÅ ÊÎÌÏÜÞÒÅÐ? .............................. 99
3.3.3 ÑÒÀÐÛÉ ÄÐÓà ËÓ×ØÅ ÍÎÂÛÕ ÄÂÓÕ ...................... 101
3.3.4 ÆÄÅÒ ËÈ ÍÀÑ ÑÓÄÜÁÀ ÊÏÑÑ? .......................... 104
ÐÀÇÄÅË IV.
ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÅ ÏÅÐÑÏÅÊÒÈÂÛ ....................................... 107
4.1. ÑÌÅÍÀ ÃÅÎÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÈÕ ÏÐÈÎÐÈÒÅÒΠ....................... 109
4.1.1 ÃÈÏÎÒÅÇÀ ÈÍÒÅËËÅÊÒÓËÜÍÎ-ÈÍÔÎÐÌÀÖÈÎÍÍÎÉ
(ÍÎÎÑÔÅÐÍÎÉ) ÐÅÍÒÛ ................................ 113
4.1.2 ÈÍÒÅËËÅÊÒ (ÍÎÎÑÔÅÐÀ) È ÊÀÏÈÒÀË .................... 117
4.1.3 ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÛÅ ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ È ÈÍÔÎÐÌÀÒÈÊÀ ÐÎÑÑÈÈ ........ 124
4.2 ÒÐÎÏÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÀÔÐÈÊÀ ÍÀ ÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈÎÍÍÎÌ ÈÇËÎÌÅ ............. 130
4.3 ÊÒÎ ÍÀÂßÇÛÂÀÅÒ ÀÔÐÈÊÅ ÏÅÐÌÀÍÅÍÒÍÓÞ ÎÒÑÒÀËÎÑÒÜ? ........... 140
4.4 ÂÅÑÒÅÐÍ-ÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈß: ÂÇÃËßÄ ÈÇ ÀÔÐÈÊÈ .................... 149
4.5 ÐÎÑÑÈß, ÁÅËÀÐÓÑÜ È ÇÀÏÀÄ: ÆÄÅÒ ËÈ ÍÀÑ Ó×ÀÑÒÜ "ÂÒÎÐÎÉ"
ÀÔÐÈÊÈ? .................................................. 154
4.6 ÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈÎÍÍÛÉ "ÐÀÇËÎÌ" ÈËÈ ÄÈÀËÎÃ ÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈÉ? ......... 161
4.7 ÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈÎÍÍÛÅ ÏÅÐÑÏÅÊÒÈÂÛ ÑÎÒÐÓÄÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÀ Ñ ÀÔÐÈÊÎÉ ..... 168
4.8 ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÎÅ "ÍÀÑËÅÄÑÒÂÎ" ÑÑÑÐ ............................ 178
4.9 ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÎ-ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÀß ÇÍÀ×ÈÌÎÑÒÜ ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÎ-
ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎ-ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÈÕ ÏÐÎÃÐÀÌÌ ........................... 181
4.10 ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÛÅ ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ ÊÀÊ ÊÎÍÑÒÐÓÊÒÈÂÍÛÉ "ßÇÛÊ"
ÌÅÆÖÈÂÈËÈÇÀÖÈÎÍÍÎÃÎ ÎÁÙÅÍÈß .............................. 184
4.11 "ÝÊÎÍÎÌÈÇÀÖÈß" ÄÈÏËÎÌÀÒÈÈ ÏÐÈÌÅÍÈÒÅËÜÍÎ Ê ÀÔÐÈÊÅ ......... 187
ÐÀÇÄÅË V.
ÍÅÊÎÒÎÐÛÅ ÑÎÂÌÅÑÒÍÛÅ ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÎ-ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÈÅ ÏÐÎÅÊÒÛ ÄËß
ÀÔÐÈÊÈ ........................................................ 193
5.1 ÊÎÌÓ ÍÓÆÅÍ ÑÎÂÌÅÑÒÍÛÉ ÐÎÑÑÈÉÑÊÈÉ ÀÂÒÎÌÎÁÈËÜ È
ÁÅËÎÐÓÑÑÊÈÉ ÒÐÀÊÒÎÐ? ..................................... 193
5.1.1. "ÒßÃÀ×" ÄËß ÊÐÈÇÈÑÍÎÉ ÈÍÄÓÑÒÐÈÈ? .................. 193
5.2 ÌÅÆÄÓÍÀÐÎÄÍÎÅ ÑÎÒÐÓÄÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÎ "ÍÀÈÇÍÀÍÊÓ" (ÑÅÁÅ Â
ÓÁÛÒÎÊ) .................................................. 196
5.3 ÃÅÎÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÈÉ "ÐÀÑÊËÀÄ" ............................... 200
5.4 ÍÓÆÍÛ ÑÎÖÈÀËÜÍÛÅ ÒÅÕÍÎËÎÃÈÈ! ............................. 204
5.5 ÊÀÊ ÎÒÊÐÛÒÜ ÄÂÅÐÜ ÒÓÄÀ, ÃÄÅ ÍÀÑ ÆÄÓÒ? .................... 207
5.6 ÓÃÎËÜÍÀß ÏÐÎÁËÅÌÀ  ÃÅÎÝÊÎÍÎÌÈ×ÅÑÊÎÌ ÐÀÇÐÅÇÅ ............. 213
5.7 ÑËÀÂßÍÑÊÈÉ ÒÅÊÑÒÈËÜ - ÈÇ ÀÔÐÈÊÀÍÑÊÎÃÎ ÕËÎÏÊÀ! ............ 223
5.7.1 ÏÅÐÑÏÅÊÒÈÂÀ ÏÀÐÒÍÅÐÑÒÂÀ ........................... 223
5.7.2 ÌÛ È ÀÔÐÈÊÀ ÍÓÆÍÛ ÄÐÓÃ ÄÐÓÃÓ ...................... 226
5.7.3 ÔÈÍÀÍÑÎÂÛÉ ÀÑÏÅÊÒ ÑÎÒÐÓÄÍÈ×ÅÑÒÂÀ .................. 229
5.7.4 "ÏÎÁÎ×ÍÛÅ" ÏÐÎÈÇÂÎÄÑÒÂÀ ........................... 231
5.7.5 ÑÕÅÌÀ ÐÀÇÂÅÐÒÛÂÀÍÈß ÏÐÎÅÊÒÀ ....................... 234
5.8 ÃÓÄÎÊ ÐÎÄÍÎÉ ËÎÊÎÌÎÒÈÂÀ ÏÐÎÍÇÈÒ ÑÀÂÀÍÍÛ ÒÈØÈÍÓ ........... 237
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